The talking heads and pundits have been arguing about the effect of the Colin Powell endorsement. Conventional wisdom is that endorsements don't move votes. But this comment from Jeffrey C. Stewart at the University of California, Santa Barbara, makes an interesting observation:
The Colin Powell endorsement of Senator Obama for president is a body blow to the McCain campaign. It is not a knockout punch; but it is the kind of blow that sickens a boxer as he returns to the chair, focusing what little attention he has left on what he has done wrong in the fight rather than on what he has done right.
That sounds right to me. This is one that will get in McCain's head and bounce around for months.
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