Thursday, August 28, 2008


Two days ago the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, which averages the 3 most recent day's results, showed McCain at 46% vs. Obama's 44%. Up 'til then, Obama had been in the lead, or sometimes tied.

Today, the poll is reflecting Obama at 48% and McCain at 42%. Gallup attributes the sharp turnaround to a "convention bounce," which, in an earlier article, they say averages about 5%. It's worth noting that one of the 3 days covered by the poll included Hillary's speech, but none reflected Bill's or Biden's speech.

At the end of July, Obama had one 3-day average of 49%, with McCain at 40%, but that's about as far apart as they've been. Can Obama push it over 50%? We'll be watching here.

[Click on graphic for a larger image.]

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